Fixed annuities were smoking in second quarter. Smoking hot,
that is. According to the latest individual annuity sales estimates from LIMRA
Secure Retirement Institute (LIMRA SRI), total fixed annuity sales hit $25.2
billion in second quarter, up 34 percent from the same period last year.
For the first half, fixed sales totaled $49.1 billion, up 39
percent from first-half last year.
Variable annuities did not fare as well, in terms of growth.
Those sales fell 5 percent in second quarter compared to last year on sales of
$36.2 billion. On a first-half basis, they fell 4 percent on sales of $70.4
billion compared to last year, according to LIMRA SRI.
The results for both annuity sectors echoed those of first
quarter. That’s when fixed sales rose by a stunning 43 percent over the same
year earlier quarter on sales of $23.5 billion, while variable annuities fell
by 3 percent on sales of $34.2 billion.
A new annuity dynamic
The performance in both product lines brings to the
foreground what may be a leading dynamic in the annuity business, a dynamic
forged by retirement demographics.
Time was when fixed annuities made their strongest gains
when interest rates were high or rising, and that variable annuities soared
when the stock market was making big gains. Yet that was not the case this
year.
In both second and first quarter, fixed annuity sales
climbed higher and higher, even though interest rates did not go up. In fact,
interest rates fell; for instance, the 10-year bond rate dropped from 3 percent
at year-end 2013 to not quite 2.6 percent at the end of second quarter. Similarly,
variable annuities declined even though the stock market reached new highs in
both quarters (the Dow closed second quarter at 16,851, yet another new high).
The throng of the eldest baby boomers, now in their late 50s
and early- to mid-60s, may account for much of the fixed annuity gain this
year. Industry research shows that those who are at or near retirement are more
interested in financial products with guarantees than with the opportunity to
reap big gains in the stock market (absent of guarantees).
Other factors were also at work in both sectors. These
include the continued downsizing of variable annuity production by some
carriers, the debut of new derisked variable annuities by other carriers that
some sales agents deemed as unattractive, the proliferation of a wide
assortment of fixed products geared for today’s market, and a generally more
optimistic business environment this year.
But those factors are in addition to the impact of rising
demand for guarantees among older buyers, especially older boomer buyers. For
instance, in an Allianz Life survey last year, 87 percent of boomers aged 55 to
65 indicated they felt more attracted to a financial product with 4 percent
guaranteed return than a product offering an 8 percent return that could lose value
due to market downturns.
On a dollar comparison basis, variable annuities did
outperform fixed annuities in second quarter, as per usual. However, the
performance gap between variable and fixed has narrowed.
For instance, in second quarter 2014, variable policies sold
$36.2 billion versus the $25.2 billion sold in fixed policies, according to
LIMRA SRI numbers. That made for a gap of $11 billion. By contrast, in second
quarter last year, the gap was $19.2 billion ($38 billion for variable versus
$18.8 billion for fixed). And in second quarter 2008, before the Great
Recession hit its nadir, the gap was $16.4 billion ($42.2 billion for variable
versus $25.8 billion for fixed).
Many producers have been accustomed to identifying
themselves as fixed or variable annuity specialists. But this contraction of
the sales gap between fixed and variable may, if it continues, spur
identification simply as annuity professionals, especially if dual licensed,
without regard to annuity type. Such a shift could minimize old rivalries
between the two groups, with neither one claiming to have the best, most
flexible, nor most suitable annuity solution for annuity-buying customers.
So, what are the totals? According to LIMRA SRI, the total
annuity production for second quarter 2014 came to $61.4 billion, up 8 percent
from the $58.8 produced in second quarter last year. “This is only the second
time we have seen quarterly sales over $60 billion since the third quarter of
2011,” Todd Giesing, LIMRA SRI senior analyst, said in a statement.
Total annuity sales increased on a year-over-year basis too,
by 10 percent to $119.5 billion from the same period last year, according to
the report.
Fixed annuity insight
The LIMRA SRI data provide plenty of insight into which
types of fixed products were top sellers in second quarter. Measured by growth,
the big winner was the fixed index annuity (FIA) product line.
Those sales jumped 40 percent over the same period last
year, set a new quarterly record of $13 billion, and won a 52 percent share of
total fixed annuity sales, LIMRA SRI reported. This is the first time that
quarterly FIA sales have accounted for more than 50 percent of total fixed
annuity sales, the researcher said.
On a first-half basis, the FIA results followed a similar
upward trajectory. FIA year-to-date production grew to $24.3 billion, a 41
percent increase over first-half last year, according to LIMRA SRI.
By way of comparison, in second quarter 2008, FIA sales came
to just $6.9 billion, according to LIMRA figures. The star-shine in that
quarter, on the fixed side of the business, was fixed deferred annuities, which
sold $22.3 billion. Now the tables have turned. Fixed-rate deferred annuities
(book value and market value adjusted) produced only $7.4 billion second
quarter this year — nearly half the $13 billion reported for FIAs in the same
quarter.
Industry proponents take the steady growth of FIAs as a
signal that the policies are attracting buyers who want upside potential with
downside guarantees. They have reason; many FIA buyers are boomers. In first
quarter 2014, for instance, Wink Inc., reported that the average age of FIA
buyers was 64.
Other figures in the LIMRA SRI sales report reinforce the
notion that fixed annuity sales are trending toward boomers with an eye on retirement
income guarantees. For example:
Deferred income annuity (DIA) sales reached $710 million, up
33 percent from second quarter in the prior year. On a first half basis, DIA
sales hit $1.3 billion, up by 43 percent from last year.
Single premium immediate annuity sales rose 37 percent to
$2.6 billion, and not just from one carrier. On a first-half basis, these sales
reached $5.1 billion, up 42 percent year over year.
Guaranteed living benefit features, when available, were
elected on 72 percent of FIA sales. (They were variable annuities, too, with an
election rate of 78 percent, when available.)

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